Lyon 4-0 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 13 Mar 2025

Lyon
4-0 HT 2-0
FCSB
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

Lyon vs FCSB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.45
X/1
17%
3.77
X/2
6%
15.2
X/X
12%
6.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.0
2/2
10%
13.4
2/X
6%
21.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon v FCSB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
2.57/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
-32% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +63%
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
560 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
50.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.5 Crosses 9.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.6

Lyon vs FCSB Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
4W-1D-0L
AWAY FCSB
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
566 Passes 253
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.03.2025 FCSB FCSB 1-3 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon AVL
05.11.2008 Lyon Lyon 2-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ŞMP
21.10.2008 FCSB FCSB 3-5 HT 3-2 Lyon Lyon ŞMP
06.12.2006 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ŞMP
26.09.2006 FCSB FCSB 0-3 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon ŞMP

Lyon 4-0 FCSB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
4-0
AWAY FCSB
2.81 xG 0.51
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
708 Passes 342
94% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Lyon vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon ran out comfortable winners over FCSB 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lyon had 65% of the ball to FCSB's 35%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.81 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Lyon and 1.00 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Lyon vs FCSB?

Lyon 4-0 FCSB in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lyon 54%, draw 24%, FCSB 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Over 2.5
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