Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Athletic Bilbao v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao had too much for Roma 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Athletic Bilbao had 70% of the ball to Roma's 30%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.84 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.67 for Roma.
Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Result & Final Score
Athletic Bilbao 3 - 1 Roma in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 49%, draw 28%, Roma 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.