Parma 2-3 Cagliari — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Italy - Serie A, 30 Sep 2024

Parma Elo 1750 · World #178 (clubs) DWLLD→
2 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Cagliari Elo 1791 · World #121 (clubs) DLLLW→
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Parma vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 21:39
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.83
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
24%
3.2
6+
6%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.68
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.61
X/2
10%
7.37
X/X
16%
5.02
2/1
3%
23.6
2/2
14%
5.16
2/X
5%
13.4
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Parma v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Parma The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Cagliari The Market 31%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
1.36 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.61
Average Attack Strength Weak
Bad Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
27 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3

Parma vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cagliari
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.06.2023 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
30.05.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 3-2 HT 0-2 Parma Parma İTB
22.04.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
03.12.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTB
17.04.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 4-3 HT 1-2 Parma Parma İTA
16.12.2020 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Parma 2-3 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
2 - 3
AWAY Cagliari
2.38 xG 2.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
483 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Parma vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cagliari came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Parma 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We leaned Parma at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Parma had 61% of the ball to Cagliari's 39%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.38 to 2.38.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Parma and 1.50 for Cagliari.

Parma vs Cagliari Result & Final Score

Parma 2 - 3 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Parma vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Parma 47%, draw 27%, Cagliari 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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