Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.94
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.64
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.31
6+
6%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.6
1/2
3%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.68
X/2
14%
4.95
X/X
17%
4.75
2/1
3%
32.0
2/2
23%
3.0
2/X
6%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heidenheim The Market 34%
Signal
AWAY Freiburg The Market 46%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
1.26 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Freiburg
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.27 xG 1.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 413
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
20.12.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
08.05.2016 Freiburg Freiburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
27.11.2015 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2 HT 1-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
0 - 3
AWAY Freiburg
0.68 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
284 Passes 411
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Heidenheim vs Freiburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Freiburg cruised past Heidenheim 3-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Heidenheim had 42% of the ball to Freiburg's 58%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.68 to 1.39.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Heidenheim and 1.75 for Freiburg.

Heidenheim vs Freiburg Result & Final Score

Heidenheim 0 - 3 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heidenheim vs Freiburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 31%, draw 28%, Freiburg 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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