Chelsea 1-0 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 13 Mar 2025

Chelsea
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Kopenhag
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2025/2026

Chelsea vs Kopenhag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.0
Over
55%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.84
No
48%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.56
2-3
47%
1.79
4-5
25%
3.18
6+
6%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.88
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.95
X/1
20%
3.96
X/2
7%
11.7
X/X
12%
5.78
2/1 ✗
3%
22.1
2/2
8%
9.76
2/X
4%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Chelsea v Kopenhag — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Chelsea The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
0.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.91
– Attack Strength Great
– Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
– Crosses 7
– Yellow Cards 3

Chelsea vs Kopenhag Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.41 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
665 Passes 373
92% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 9
5 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.03.2025 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-2 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea AVKL
16.03.2011 Chelsea Chelsea 0-0 HT 0-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag ŞMP
22.02.2011 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea ŞMP
REVIEW Chelsea vs Kopenhag
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chelsea edged past Kopenhag 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chelsea and 0.33 for Kopenhag.

Chelsea vs Kopenhag Result & Final Score

Chelsea 1 - 0 Kopenhag in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chelsea vs Kopenhag Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 64%, draw 20%, Kopenhag 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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