Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Olympiakos v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals
Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Olympiakos 2-1 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics
Olympiakos edged past Aris Saloniki 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (60%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Olympiakos had 65% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 35%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.60 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olympiakos and 1.17 for Aris Saloniki.
Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Result & Final Score
Olympiakos 2 - 1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 77%, draw 16%, Aris Saloniki 7%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.