Hatayspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.18
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.48
6+
5%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.37
1/2
3%
25.0
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
11%
7.19
X/2
16%
4.46
X/X
17%
4.84
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.76
2/X
5%
14.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hatayspor The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor The Market 50%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.64
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
06.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
23.01.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.09.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
13.03.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
22.11.2020 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1 - 2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.84 xG 2.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
310 Passes 440
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Çaykur Rizespor shaded a tight game against Hatayspor 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Çaykur Rizespor saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.84 to 2.21 — on chances created, Çaykur Rizespor won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Hatayspor against 0.83 for Çaykur Rizespor.

Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Result & Final Score

Hatayspor 1 - 2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hatayspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 27%, draw 27%, Çaykur Rizespor 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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