Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

Esenler Erokspor
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Sakaryaspor
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.12
Away
45%
2.2
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.8
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.99
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.99
6+
5%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.97
1/2
3%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
10%
6.78
X/2
16%
4.94
X/X
18%
4.15
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
26%
3.17
2/X
5%
12.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Esenler Erokspor v Sakaryaspor — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Esenler Erokspor The Market 33%
Signal
AWAY Sakaryaspor The Market 45%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.08 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.57
1.61 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Sakaryaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1 - 1
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.86 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
365 Passes 321
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Esenler Erokspor and Sakaryaspor traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 45% lean on Sakaryaspor didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, Esenler Erokspor had 54% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 46%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.86 to 1.15.

Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor Result & Final Score

Esenler Erokspor 1 - 1 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 26%, draw 29%, Sakaryaspor 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sakaryaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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