Sporting CP 1-1 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - League Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.82
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
37%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.85
Over
47%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.14
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.51
6+
5%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2
2%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
12%
6.28
X/2
14%
5.25
X/X
21%
4.42
2/1
2%
32.5
2/2
21%
3.37
2/X
5%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sporting CP The Market 36%
Signal
AWAY Benfica The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
Bad Attack Strength
Defense Strength
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Benfica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
357 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica Benfica POR
06.04.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-1 Benfica Benfica POR
02.04.2024 Benfica Benfica 2-2 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK
29.02.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Benfica Benfica POK
12.11.2023 Benfica Benfica 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
21.05.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-2 HT 2-0 Benfica Benfica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
1 - 1
AWAY Benfica
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
REVIEW Sporting CP vs Benfica
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting CP and Benfica finished all square at 1-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Sporting CP had 44% of the ball to Benfica's 56%, shots finished 11-16.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting CP and 1.33 for Benfica.

Sporting CP vs Benfica Result & Final Score

Sporting CP 1 - 1 Benfica in the Portugal - League Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 31%, draw 32%, Benfica 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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