Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Jan 2025

Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 - 2 HT 0 - 0
Venados
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Tepatitlán de Morelos v Venados — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.54 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Strong
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4 Yellow Cards 1

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Venados
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
19.01.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
28.09.2023 Venados Venados 5-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
05.01.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
20.10.2022 Venados Venados 4-2 HT 4-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
16.09.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
REVIEW Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Tepatitlán de Morelos and Venados with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 3.00 for Venados.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Result & Final Score

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2 - 2 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 43%, draw 28%, Venados 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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