PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 Jan 2025

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.5
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.24
6+
6%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.3
1/2 ✗
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
12%
6.46
X/2
13%
5.38
X/X
17%
4.6
2/1
3%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.31
2/X
6%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 3% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

PEC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PEC Zwolle The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen The Market 43%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
0W-2D-4L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.09 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
342 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4-3 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOK
24.08.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
14.04.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
09.12.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
05.02.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 1-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
20.08.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
0.41 xG 1.02
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
466 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NEC Nijmegen shaded a tight game against PEC Zwolle 1-0 on their travels.

The model refused to pick a side here (32% / 29% / 39%); NEC Nijmegen picked one for it. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 62% to 38% in PEC Zwolle's favour, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.41 to 1.02.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for PEC Zwolle against 2.17 for NEC Nijmegen.

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Final Score

PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 29%, NEC Nijmegen 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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