Brest 2-1 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 11 Jan 2025

Brest
2 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Lyon
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Brest vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.92
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.47
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.25
6+
6%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.08
1/2
3%
24.7
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
10%
7.16
X/2
16%
4.71
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.82
2/X
5%
13.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Brest v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Brest The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon The Market 49%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.18 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.83
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Brest vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lyon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 2.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
254 Passes 460
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Lyon Lyon 4-3 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
23.09.2023 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
01.02.2023 Lyon Lyon 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
28.12.2022 Brest Brest 2-4 HT 1-3 Lyon Lyon FR1
20.04.2022 Brest Brest 2-1 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
07.08.2021 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 2-1 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
2 - 1
AWAY Lyon
1.07 xG 1.43
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
227 Passes 549
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Brest vs Lyon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Brest edged past Lyon 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lyon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Lyon saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.07 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Brest against 1.67 for Lyon.

Brest vs Lyon Result & Final Score

Brest 2 - 1 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Brest vs Lyon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brest 27%, draw 27%, Lyon 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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