Sunderland vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sunderland v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sunderland 1-2 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City shaded a tight game against Sunderland 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in Sunderland's favour, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.96 to 1.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Sunderland against 1.67 for Stoke City.
Sunderland vs Stoke City Result & Final Score
Sunderland 1 - 2 Stoke City in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sunderland vs Stoke City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 47%, draw 26%, Stoke City 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.