Brentford vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Brentford v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals
Brentford vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brentford 0-1 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle found just enough to beat Brentford 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
File this under upsets: a 77% lean on Brentford went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 71% to 29% in Brentford's favour, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.41 to 0.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Brentford against 1.50 for Plymouth Argyle.
Brentford vs Plymouth Argyle Result & Final Score
Brentford 0 - 1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Brentford vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Brentford 77%, draw 13%, Plymouth Argyle 10%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.