Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Brisbane Roar saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.77 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.83 a game for Melbourne City against 1.33 for Brisbane Roar.
Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Result & Final Score
Melbourne City 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 65%, draw 20%, Brisbane Roar 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.