Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Newcastle Jets (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) saw off Newcastle Jets (K) 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Melbourne Victory (K) saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.36.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Newcastle Jets (K) against 1.75 for Melbourne Victory (K).
Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Result & Final Score
Newcastle Jets (K) 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 27%, draw 23%, Melbourne Victory (K) 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.