Deportivo Alaves vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Alaves v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Girona shaded a tight game against Deportivo Alaves 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Girona found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.
Under the surface, Deportivo Alaves had 43% of the ball to Girona's 57%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.30 to 0.50 — by the quality of chances, Deportivo Alaves deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.83 for Girona.
Deportivo Alaves vs Girona Result & Final Score
Deportivo Alaves 0 - 1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Alaves vs Girona Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 31%, draw 32%, Girona 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.