PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 1 Oct 2024

PSV Eindhoven
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Sporting CP
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.87
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.2
Over Pick
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.43
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.92
2-3
42%
1.94
4-5
29%
2.78
6+
11%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.37
1/2
3%
22.7
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
11%
7.04
X/2
14%
5.2
X/X
16%
5.41
2/1
2%
29.0
2/2
27%
2.86
2/X
5%
12.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

PSV Eindhoven v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSV Eindhoven The Market 35%
Signal
AWAY Sporting CP The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.99
1.43 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
Average Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3

PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.95 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
382 Passes 390
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.11.2019 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-0 HT 3-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven AVL
19.09.2019 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-2 HT 2-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP AVL
02.08.2008 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HAZ

PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
1 - 1
AWAY Sporting CP
2.63 xG 1.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
474 Passes 317
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven and Sporting CP shared the points in a 1-1 draw. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in PSV Eindhoven's favour, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.63 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for PSV Eindhoven against 2.33 for Sporting CP.

PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP Result & Final Score

PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Sporting CP in the Champions League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 30%, draw 26%, Sporting CP 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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